If I Had A Spreadsheet

We Look At All The Polls, Not Just The Gallup Poll. So, It's Kind Of Like If You Have, You Know, Four Out Of Five Doctors Agree That Reducing Cholesterol Reduces Your Risk Of A Heart Attack, Gallup Is Like The Fifth Doctor.

Success Makes You Less Intimidated By Things.

We're Living In A World Where Google Beats Gallup.

The Thing That People Associate With Expertise, Authoritativeness, Kind Of With A Capital 'a,' Don't Correlate Very Well With Who's Actually Good At Making Predictions.

If You Have Reason To Think That Yesterday's Forecast Went Wrong, There Is No Glory In Sticking To It.