When You Look At The

Political Columnists And Sports Pundits Are Rewarded For Being Overconfident.

If You're Going To Be Unreligious, It's Likely Going To Be Due To Reflecting On It And Finding Some Things That Are Hard To Believe.

You Should Not Take Your Intuitions At Face Value.

People Are Very Good [at] Thinking About Agents. The Mind Is Set Really Beautifully To Think About Agents. Agents Have Traits. Agents Have Behaviors. We Understand Agents. We Form Global Impression Of Their Personalities. We Are Really Not Very Good At Remembering Sentences Where The Subject Of The Sentence Is An Abstract Notion.

When Action Is Needed, Optimism, Even Of The Mildly Delusional Variety, May Be A Good Thing.