All Models Have Faults -

Innovation Must Lead Infrastructure For A Simple But Compelling Reason: Innovation Produces New Types Of Products And Markets, And It Is Virtually Impossible To Know How To Run Those Markets Efficiently Before They Are Created.

My Career In Academic Research Has Not Been Involved With Active Management Of Securities. I've Tried To Understand Risk-and-return Relationships; Also The Pricing Of Derivative Securities.

Every Side Of A Coin Has Another Side.

A Bank Needs Models To Measure Risk. The Problem, However, Is That Any One Bank Can Measure Its Risk, But It Also Has To Know What The Risk Taken By Other Banks In The System Happens To Be At Any Particular Moment.

All Models Have Faults - That Doesnt Mean You Cant Use Them As Tools For Making Decisions.