Basically, Books Were A Luxury

The Signal Is The Truth. The Noise Is What Distracts Us From The Truth.

Remember, The Congress Doesn't Get As Many Opportunities To Make An Impression With The Public.

When Human Judgment And Big Data Intersect There Are Some Funny Things That Happen

Basically, Books Were A Luxury Item Before The Printing Press.

We Want To Get 80%-85% Of Predictions Right, Not 100%. Or Else We Calibrated Our Estimates In The Wrong Way.